Organized and Coordinated Attacks

Give the Democrats Credit

One thing about the Democrats, they are a top-down centralized organization. That means in many cases, they don’t even have to say the words to get things done. Inside the party, the culture is such that people know just what to do. The people who are Democrats march in lockstep. The higher-ups in the party say what the policy is and they don’t question it.

The culture and organization of the party are why many Democrats in states like Illinois get off when it comes to corruption trials. The political person doesn’t need to tell the minion to stop picking up garbage at the recalcitrant’s business. They just know. Further, they know that the political appointee will reward them with something they value in the future.

Not only that, but over the years Democrats have created an entire web of non-government organizations to enforce their discipline and culture. I agree with Elon Musk and Marc Andreesen on ending the NGO gravy train.

Elon Musk on X, “Many of these NGOs are heavily funded by the government, which makes them a GNGO self-licking ice cream cone. Only way to break this is to elect politicians who will stop funding them.”

Andreesen on X, “Government funding of NGO's and nonprofits should be entirely illegal. Like, literally just stop. No government subsidies to companies. No government subsidies to NGO's, nonprofits, foundations, activists. Let people spend or donate their own money their own way. ¡AFUERA!”

Trump supporter David Sacks tweets the obvious:

This week’s psyops: Monday: A roast comic’s joke will decide the election. Tuesday: Phantom apostrophe. Wednesday: “I will protect women” referred to abortion instead of keeping killers from pouring across the border. Thursday: Trump wants to put Liz Cheney in front of a firing squad. Friday: “Undecideds” breaking for Kamala by double digits. Saturday: Kamala is winning Iowa. 3 more days to go. Ignore the noise and vote.

Republicans are not so top-down. They are decentralized. There’s far more variability in Republican Party beliefs and debates. Mississippi Republicans are not like Minnesota Republicans even though they are Republicans. They share some of the same core beliefs but implementation is likely to be very different. Since moving to Nevada, I have noticed Nevada Republicans are not like Illinois Republicans in my time here.

It makes a difference on the ground during an election too. Who pays for the get-out-the-vote effort in the Republican Party? The Democrats pay for it. Republicans volunteer. It is also why when you vote, Democratic judges and poll watchers always outnumber Republicans.

So far, Republicans have been coming out in wave after wave to early vote. Democrats have not been energized. Deep down, they know Harris is a terribly flawed human being. But, they want the power. Power, and centralizing it, is what drives Democrats, not doing better by citizens.

Yesterday, you saw a very coordinated attack by Democrats which was designed to energize their base and demoralize their opposition. First, later in the day a respected Iowa pollster released a poll showing Harris winning Iowa. Why she would risk her credibility like that is beyond me but I am sure Soros or someone else will make her feel comfortable in the aftermath.

Trump’s campaign issued a statement on the poll. However, since the mainstream media carries water for the Democrats and needs a close race so people click on their websites and pay attention to their news people, they won’t amplify it.

Based on all prior data, this is a poll that is a huge outlier. But, if you are a Democrat and see that Harris can win Iowa, she surely will win the Blue Wall states. It gave you hope. That is, even though the random sample looks like it came from the Des Moines Register newsroom.

When I looked into that poll, three characteristics of the random sample jumped out at me.

1. 51% of respondents said that the “threat to democracy” was their greatest fear.

2. Only 7% of respondents thought inflation was a big issue.

3. Only 2% of respondents thought that immigration was a big issue.

If that’s your random sample pool, the results are going to be pretty skewed. Despite that skewed sample, Harris was only up 3% in the poll. For what it’s worth, an Emerson poll said Trump was going to win by 9%.

But, credit the Democrats. An anonymous source said the internal polls only show Trump up by 5%. In the last 9 years, how many times has a news cycle been hijacked by an anonymous source? Lucy pulls the football again.

Following that, the hard-left wing and propaganda outlet, the New York Times released their polling data of swing states. Predictably, Harris is winning Georgia and North Carolina.

Again, none of the early voting data or prior polling data supports the assertion made by the NYT. Knowing that they are a propaganda machine for the Democratic Party colors the numbers.

The next shoe to drop was a tweet by the Harris campaign that they have knocked on 900k doors in Pennsylvania, made 1MM phone calls etc. Their GOTV effort in PA is strong. At the same time, Democratic governor Josh Shapiro made sure none of the heavily Republican districts were staffed with people to allow voters to cast their vote in a timely manner. There were also fraudulent votes for mail-in and registrations in Lancaster, PA. The Jew haters in the Democratic Party didn’t want Josh as VP, but they sure are happy he is on the team.

This is a voter suppression effort on the part of the Democrats and their acolytes. I bought a few Trump contracts on PredictIt. I bought the dip. Traders will know what that means. PredictIt favors Democrats in their current markets across the board. Polymarket is favoring Republicans. Kalshi has it 50/50.

Predictably, now that the odds have swung against Trump, people are saying the game is rigged. What I will say is that someone can manipulate a market for a short time. Eventually, the data catches up to them. This is true even if it’s a lightly traded market like a betting market.

Sure, it might in fact be bots making the trades. Who cares? HFT traders do this all the time and there are plenty of HFT traders that would volunteer their services to the Harris campaign to accomplish bot trading.

But, if the information starts to come out that Trump is going to win, those markets will change quickly and there will be nothing any bot can do to stop it.

Given the information that has come out in the past 24 hours, it’s plausible that the odds on Trump should drop. The odds will move again in the next 24 hours as new information comes out and gets priced in.

I still say the election is all about one state, Pennsylvania.

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