The Telegraph Election
Not A Natural Disaster Election
I lit my pool lights red last week. Hope if you have a pool you turn your lights red too for a little bit.
I hear people say things like “wave election”, “tsunami”, or “earthquake”. Except, those sorts of natural disasters happen without or with little warning. I “invested” in PredictIt and hopefully will be able to fund the purchase of more lottery tickets tomorrow.
This was a telegraphed election. It was so easy to see Ray Charles could have called it.
As has been the habit of Democrats when they get the majority of both houses of Congress and the Presidency, they way overreach. They say they have a mandate when they in fact don’t. That was the case in 2020.
Sure, Covid caused some problems in the supply chain that caused some inflation. But, what really caused inflation was the double-edged sword of massive government spending combined with government regulation eliminating or disincentivizing growth in every industry, especially energy.
No one likes what the Democrats are selling.
Since I live in Nevada, our home has been inundated with political ads. Most of them are from Democrats since they far outraised their Republican challengers. Based on polling, it looks like the Republicans are going to have a pretty good night. Who knows, maybe the local elections will turn 6 seats in the House and 2 in the Senate and the entire tenor of the chamber will change.
By the way, I have YouTube TV and lately, it gives me a button to skip political ads. Except it only appears for the Republican ads.
I know a lot of folks that have moved here from California, Oregon, Washington, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, and Illinois. They are not liberal. They are refugees.
When I was rehabbing my home, I would chat with the people working on it. Didn’t matter what race they were, they weren’t liberals. They wanted cheap gas, no inflation, better schools for their kids, and a chance at life.
The problem is that Democrats really believe what they are selling. When I lived in Illinois I used to call them “true believers”. I knew them. They discriminated against me when they could. I worked with some of them. They were rich enough to be Democrats. Limousine Liberals. Champagne Socialists.
They really think higher taxes are a thing people are willing to pay.
They really think the planet is going to blow up or something in the next ten years. Or maybe it should have blown up already.
They really think that more government spending means higher GDP despite both theoretical math and actual data which proves the opposite. Government spending has an almost an effect on GDP of almost 0.
They really think government can solve the hard problems of the day. There is nothing they don’t like more than a new government program that they can fill up with their experts.
It’s not that they are dumb. It’s that they really believe that stuff and no amount of data you give them will change their mind.
The Democratic Party is really screwed up. It’s basically an urban elite party now that revolves around the issue of abortion and calling people that don’t agree with them racist.
Even as they see the cities that they live in descending into crime-ridden pustules with a totally inefficient top heavy expensive government that makes it challenging to live in them, they still vote Democratic. They are wealthy enough that they can avoid the great unwashed. Plus, they can afford private security for their neighborhood or they can just leave for a vacation home.
For an example of how screwed up they are, read this.
Today’s mainstream of the Democratic Party doesn’t agree with this statement from the linked article.
One of the most fundamental rules of biology from plants to humans is that the sexes are defined by the size of their gametes—that is, their reproductive cells. Large gametes occur in females; small gametes in males. In humans, an egg is 10 million times bigger than a sperm. There is zero overlap. It is a full binary.
If you said that on Twitter two weeks ago you lost your account.
I don’t know what it will take to knock some sense into the Democratic Party, but it won’t be the aftermath of tonight. They will rationalize and make excuses. Heck, they have a communist running for Senate in Georgia, and a medically mentally impaired candidate for Senate in Pennsylvania! I don’t know what it will take for them to understand how far away they are from the left wing, let alone the center.
Wake up and smell the coffee!
Sad. The Republican Party needs a viable competitor otherwise it is prone to excesses. It’s part of being human and in power.
The Republican Party went too far to the right in the early 90s. They misread what the Reagan Revolution was all about and the blueblood GOPe used social issues to try and divide the electorate. Remember how they’d raise money on social issues yet do nothing? Remember how they’d consistently get elected, and do nothing meaningful for regular people?
That changed with Trump and that’s why they hate Trump.
I am not saying Trump should run again. He violated Reagan’s 11th commandment the other night and I was disappointed in that. When he was President, he was a bull in a china shop that needed a lot of stuff broken. He might be the person to put it back together but maybe not too.
If you watch people like Kari Lake, Ron DeSantis, and Glenn Youngkin interact with the press, they do a better job of it than Trump while making the same points.
If the Republicans read this election right, they will continue down the path of pursuing policies that put people in charge of their life and opportunity. They will cut down the size and scope of government and hopefully cut spending. They will be transparent and easy to understand when they speak, not lawyerly. They won’t sit back in their hideyholes in DC and not interact with the electorate.
I am hoping that when we wake up tomorrow it will be morning in America again and instead of a lot of hubris Republicans will be humble. They have a lot of work to do.
Senate 54-46. Maybe 55 if Patty Murray goes down in Washington. If Republicans do what they should do they get to 60+ in the Senate in 2024 and a veto-proof majority in the House with a Republican President.
House +30-35 for the Republicans.
Winston Churchill said to keep champagne cold in your fridge at all times. In victory you deserve it, in defeat, you need it. Both parties will be drinking it tomorrow for different reasons.
Addendum:
I screwed up this post by not mentioning Covid so I am transparently fixing it instead of working it in.
Covid is on the table. I was on record at the beginning saying it wasn’t as serious as the Dems made it out to be and they used it to beat Trump. The data is proving me correct. I lost friends over it-but that’s okay I will deal with it. Here are a couple of tweets that sum up how most parents are feeling.
I hope and pray if this happens tomorrow that the gop doesn’t spend the next two years on an impeachment tear. Craft sound policy. Let Biden or whomever veto everything, and run on that in two years. It’s not hard to do
While I appreciate your optimism, I can't help but be cynical with all of the talk of days or weeks of counting votes and ABC coming out with their "Red Mirage" post. When we start talking about long counts, I reflexively think back to the tales of the two LBJ campaigns for Senate in the 40s, detailed in "Means of Ascent" by Robert Caro (as well as the suspicious vote dumps in 2020). I have no confidence that the Democrats will just let the GOP run away with this.