Jan 24, 2022·edited Jan 24, 2022Liked by Jeffrey Carter
When Trump was elected my wife lamented that he was going to start a war. She didn't trust him because he didn't have enough experience. I felt Trump was the least likely president to start a war for that reason, lack of foreign policy expertise, that was a good thing, and he turned out to be the type of person who didn't jump to action, he was content to merely talk too much.
Hard to contemplate what the Biden people are thinking about. Any war will not be a "rally around the flag" moment, we are past that, and for a nation that is stressed out and exhausted from two years of Covid mismanagement, a war would be like trying to cure insomnia with amphetamines. We are already set up for bad times, inflation is here and we have a federal reserve that may not have the will to deal with it. Supply chain issues, incompetent bureaucrats. Throw a war on top of all that and we may end up living through the worst time since the Civil War. I think the Democrats know this, and that's the scary part. When people know they are going to lose they often get careless.
Jeff, back in 2021 (early?) you posted a pre-substack blog and within made the bold/clear statement "the vaccines work." Yet in this substack post you clearly just stated (cut/paste) "The vaccine doesn't work either." Not calling you a hypocrite, but curious what changed your mind? BTW, I'm a regular reader of your blogs, and I believe you are one of the few who see the broad picture and "get it". As a lifelong Chicago (area) guy, I can relate to your comments about how things are/work here, but thankfully for me living in the suburbs offers a little bit of protection. Anyway, back to the original question: What changed your views about the vaccines? Thx.
Ukraine is not worth going to war over that is a fact however, we can support them short of that. Here is the truth about the big boogeyman of Russia, there army is 95 to 98 percent conscripts who are unmotivated, under trained and under equipped, their Air Force is a joke they have a dozen fifth generation fighters the rest are old relics and like most of their Arm their pilots are undertrained, their Navy is not much better and the Russian economy is smaller than California’s invading Ukraine would bleed them dry. If we had a competent administration we would already have instituted massive sanctions, we would be dumping megatons of lethal military aid to include anti-tank missiles and anti aircraft man pads. Make it obvious that invading would cost more than its worth. Putin is bluffing, but I fear you are right little dumb Joey from Scranton and his merry band of incompetent clowns are seeing a wagging of the dog as their only way out.
One pedantic, nit-picky comment: in a parliamentary system, the party in power gets to pick when to call for an election (as long as it is within a designated timeframe, e.g. in the UK it's a minimum of every 5 years) so, unfortunately, no, the administration would not call for an election now. More likely, they would try to find ONE thing to boost their popularity and just when they peak THEN call for elections. I think it's a positive feature to our system as it prevents the intrenchment in power that can be a feature of less fragmented parliamentary systems (don't get me started on Italy).
When Trump was elected my wife lamented that he was going to start a war. She didn't trust him because he didn't have enough experience. I felt Trump was the least likely president to start a war for that reason, lack of foreign policy expertise, that was a good thing, and he turned out to be the type of person who didn't jump to action, he was content to merely talk too much.
Hard to contemplate what the Biden people are thinking about. Any war will not be a "rally around the flag" moment, we are past that, and for a nation that is stressed out and exhausted from two years of Covid mismanagement, a war would be like trying to cure insomnia with amphetamines. We are already set up for bad times, inflation is here and we have a federal reserve that may not have the will to deal with it. Supply chain issues, incompetent bureaucrats. Throw a war on top of all that and we may end up living through the worst time since the Civil War. I think the Democrats know this, and that's the scary part. When people know they are going to lose they often get careless.
Jeff, back in 2021 (early?) you posted a pre-substack blog and within made the bold/clear statement "the vaccines work." Yet in this substack post you clearly just stated (cut/paste) "The vaccine doesn't work either." Not calling you a hypocrite, but curious what changed your mind? BTW, I'm a regular reader of your blogs, and I believe you are one of the few who see the broad picture and "get it". As a lifelong Chicago (area) guy, I can relate to your comments about how things are/work here, but thankfully for me living in the suburbs offers a little bit of protection. Anyway, back to the original question: What changed your views about the vaccines? Thx.
Ukraine is not worth going to war over that is a fact however, we can support them short of that. Here is the truth about the big boogeyman of Russia, there army is 95 to 98 percent conscripts who are unmotivated, under trained and under equipped, their Air Force is a joke they have a dozen fifth generation fighters the rest are old relics and like most of their Arm their pilots are undertrained, their Navy is not much better and the Russian economy is smaller than California’s invading Ukraine would bleed them dry. If we had a competent administration we would already have instituted massive sanctions, we would be dumping megatons of lethal military aid to include anti-tank missiles and anti aircraft man pads. Make it obvious that invading would cost more than its worth. Putin is bluffing, but I fear you are right little dumb Joey from Scranton and his merry band of incompetent clowns are seeing a wagging of the dog as their only way out.
https://www.dailywire.com/news/poll-just-20-of-voters-strongly-approve-of-biden-60-would-vote-for-someone-else-if-next-election-held-today new twist on polling came out today. Biden is in trouble and his own party has put themselves in a vice with VP Kamela who is more unpopular. Interesting when you remember President Reagan's comment years ago, (paraphrased) "They weave these webs and then they find that they are caught in them." Dems are caught and they can't get out.
One pedantic, nit-picky comment: in a parliamentary system, the party in power gets to pick when to call for an election (as long as it is within a designated timeframe, e.g. in the UK it's a minimum of every 5 years) so, unfortunately, no, the administration would not call for an election now. More likely, they would try to find ONE thing to boost their popularity and just when they peak THEN call for elections. I think it's a positive feature to our system as it prevents the intrenchment in power that can be a feature of less fragmented parliamentary systems (don't get me started on Italy).